Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.510813 0.594663 0.687576 0.798119 0.926019 1.069319 1.242042
2025-02-16 0.372499 0.484627 0.622771 0.805266 1.039853 1.331142 1.720295
2025-02-23 0.295376 0.416067 0.576433 0.804653 1.120718 1.542683 2.148723
2025-03-02 0.242235 0.364133 0.536411 0.796912 1.180199 1.722846 2.549162
2025-03-09 0.205710 0.327170 0.508251 0.796802 1.244112 1.910196 2.976723
2025-03-16 0.171175 0.286493 0.466915 0.768333 1.258057 2.021105 3.299149
2025-03-23 0.159988 0.280282 0.476784 0.819217 1.399348 2.340426 3.980944
2025-03-30 0.137320 0.251247 0.445127 0.796787 1.416616 2.461103 4.351890
2025-04-06 0.117944 0.224809 0.413820 0.769790 1.420969 2.558122 4.690626
2025-04-13 0.102172 0.202445 0.386382 0.745334 1.425399 2.653565 5.034537
2025-04-20 0.092950 0.190987 0.377069 0.752485 1.487416 2.856894 5.595257
2025-04-27 0.089025 0.189255 0.385671 0.794445 1.619500 3.202444 6.460151
2025-05-04 0.082799 0.182256 0.383625 0.816218 1.716976 3.497292 7.270165
2025-05-11 0.075977 0.173088 0.376139 0.826196 1.792481 3.758884 8.047730
2025-05-18 0.069057 0.162649 0.364527 0.825708 1.845590 3.980277 8.766914
2025-05-25 0.062373 0.151737 0.350413 0.817775 1.881369 4.168985 9.437758
2025-06-01 0.057068 0.143232 0.340453 0.817663 1.933986 4.398582 10.222655
2025-06-08 0.050386 0.130446 0.319077 0.788464 1.916883 4.473501 10.670572
2025-06-15 0.049592 0.132060 0.331532 0.840652 2.095220 5.004946 12.221778
2025-06-22 0.044387 0.121718 0.313936 0.817648 2.091129 5.117224 12.803330
2025-06-29 0.039523 0.111548 0.295440 0.789957 2.072012 5.191662 13.301900
2025-07-06 0.035336 0.102581 0.278820 0.764874 2.056242 5.272049 13.823711
2025-07-13 0.033086 0.098644 0.274764 0.772209 2.124737 5.567021 14.918196